ARTI NEWS - NEWS ANALYSIS OF ECONOMIC FUNDAMENTALS
all industries index
this index shows the price movement for the combination of prices that were adjusted (adjusted) in advance of all industry index.
average hourly earnings
growth rate between the average rate per hour in a month and the wage growth rate, so it can also be an indicator of inflation. Price per year is also important to be listened to illustrate the long-term trend.
Business Inventories
The numbers of stocks that have been produced but not yet sold.
is a component in the calculation of GDP and can provide important clues to the direction of the economy in the future.
CBI investigation
largest employers in British organizations, focusing on creating maintain ideal conditions for competition and the prosperity that is optimal for all. CBI survey published monthly and quarterly assessment in manufacturing and past service, present and future. The resulting index shows respondents' opinions on a variety of things such as production, sales, prices, investment and demand for exports / imports.
Chicago PMI (the index of purchasing managers)
Represents PMI data from Chicago and the surrounding area. The scope of the survey covers indusri sectors and non-industrial (which is rarely recognized by market participants)
PMI is a composite index of the five main indicators, which includes elements of :. Order, inventory level, production, delivery and energy work.
A level of the index greater than 50 signifies expansion known in the business sector, below 50 indicates contraction. This index is considered an important indicator and is considered the best indicator of the production activity. This index can also detect the pressure of inflation and industrial activity.
Consumer confidence
This data measures the level of consumer optimism about the performance of the economy. In general, consumer confidence will be high if low unemployment and high GDP. The data (change) per month is considered to be no significant impact on the overall trend.
consumer price index (CPI)
is data that measures the average change in prices paid by consumers (on average) for the group of goods and services. CPI is the most commonly used indicator of inflation and is also considered an indicator of the effectiveness of government policy. The CPI rose shows the inflation rate would lead to lower bond prices and rising interest rates.
products Unlike other inflation indicators, which cover only goods of local production, the CPI also includes imported. The disadvantage is the small number of samples. Analysts generally focus more on the core (core) CPI, a variant of the CPI does not include the components of change in the price of the most unstable. Core CPI is considered more accurate to measure the rate of inflation.
Current account
The difference between total exports and imports of goods, services and transfers. Part of the trade balance. In his calculations, the current account does not include the transactions of assets and liabilities (debts) Financial. The data is an indicator of trends in foreign trade.
Durable Goods Orders
are data to calculate the volume (in dollars) of orders and delivery of goods belonging to the durable category (product useful life of 3 years or more).
existing home sales
is a regional report on the activity of resale homes.
controls
is the data that calculates the value (in dollars) (order) of new durable goods (durable) and nondurable (unsustainable). These data provide a more complete report that the Orders data for durable goods, released a week or two earlier. These orders for goods data will provide an overview of how sibukkah industrial sector in the coming months to fulfill the order. While automatically mean greater numbers of data that the high level of market demand.
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)
Is this the part of the institution of the Federal Reserve (the US central bank), which establishes the policy rate interest and credit. The FOMC is the policy making body the most important in the system of the Federal Reserve. The institution is currently chaired by Ben Bernanke is generally held periodically eight meetings a year to decide whether or not there is a change in monetary policy.
FOMC Minutes
This is the announcement of the Federal Reserve, which describes a meeting held institutions that decide monetary policy before.
gross domestic product (GDP)
measuring the market value of goods and services produced by a country, irrespective of the nationality of companies that produce goods or services . GDP consists of four main components: the level of consumption, investment, government purchases, and net exports total. Released quarterly, the data rate shows the percentage growth compared to the previous quarter. The GDP report is divided into 3 output:
1) advanced - the first version
2) Preliminary - the first revision
3) final - the second and final revision Revisions ... this is usually a significant impact on the market.
Index Help wanted.
is an index that measures the number of jobs advertised in 51 newspapers scattered across the United States. Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan spoke often and watch this index because the index is able to provide the conditions of the labor market in the US today.
HICP
more or less the same as the consumer price (CPI). An inflation indicator used by the European Central Bank (ECB).
Housing starts and building permits
Housing starts are monthly data that calculates the number of construction of new housing units per month. Most data collected from the Housing Starts number of applications and licenses (permits) for the construction of houses. These data include key indicators. The importance of these data lies in its capacity to trigger changes in economic conditions, predict changes in growth rates. The declining number of new housing units can slow the economy and lead to a recession. Conversely, an increase in the number of new housing units
indicates economic growth.
increased monthly forecasts analysts "interpreted as an indication of inflationary pressures.
IFO Survey
German Main survey about business requirements. published monthly by the Institute for Economic Research, one of the largest research institutions in Germany, the IFO index is generally considered an important indicator of economic activity, and proven reliability in indicating a trend change in the growth rate
in the German economy. Survey respondents included more than 7,000 companies.
Industrial production
Industrial production is a monthly data that measures the total output of all factories, mines and utilities (electricity, water, gas, transportation , etc.).
manufacturing output, the largest component of industrial production data can be accurately predicted from the total hours worked in the employment report. One of the biggest drawbacks of these data is the inclusion of the level of public services that can be greatly affected by the change (eg climate change) for the production of components.
increase exceeded the estimates of this indicator is defined as the increase in the inflation rate, which in turn lead to lower prices -the obligations and rising interest rates.
production and industrial capacity utilization
industrial production is a monthly data that measures the total output of the whole plant, mines and utilities (electricity, water, gas, transportation, and other). Manufacturing production, the largest component of industrial data
Production can be accurately predicted from the total hours worked in the employment report. One of the biggest drawbacks of these data is the inclusion of the level of public services that can be greatly affected by the change (eg climate change) for the production of components.
Although capacity utilization is the complement data on Industrial Production. Using the ability to calculate the level of use of the state capital used in the production process. These data go up and down in line with the economic cycle. Raising the level of
will lead to increased production of these data as well. However, the very high level of difficulty in compiling these data has led to less confident accuracy rate of increase exceeded market estimates of the two indicators is defined as the increase in inflation, which in turn leads to lower bond prices and rising interest rates.
industrial production and manufacturing output
industrial production is a monthly data that measures the total output of all factories, mines and utilities (electricity, water, gas, transportation, and other). Manufacturing production, the largest component of industrial data
Production can be accurately predicted from the total hours worked in the employment report. One of the biggest drawbacks of these data is the inclusion of the level of public services that can be greatly affected by the change (eg climate change) for the production of components. The increase exceeded the estimates of this indicator is defined as the increase in the inflation rate, which in turn will be
cause a drop in bond prices and rising interest rates.
Institute for Supply Management index (ISM)
Previously known as NAPM, effectively unchanged since January 02.
is an important survey conducted on US manufacturing by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). The report is usually released on the first day of work each month, with views of the early details on the manufacturing sector before the report of the use of others.
This survey is known for its precision speed (period) it, the extent of available information and figures on its title is a function of six major components: a price paid, new orders, deliveries suppliers, production, inventories and employment. It should be noted, third last component reflects the power (power), while the three previous components reflect
Power demand (request).
One can see how the relative trend between the two groups (supply and demand) describes the balance between these powers and this gives sight to the policies of the Federal Reserve.
components payment of the price (price paid) is widely considered because this component has a pressure element on prices in the sector, the number of 50 or more indicates the sector is expanding, while a reading below 50 indicate their depreciation.
leading indicators
is a combination of several other economic indicators. The index was constructed to get a signal on economic trends are out of date (in progress) and consistent
M4 -. Money Supply
Is the data that measures the amount of money circulating in the economy. Is the sum of:
The amount of currency in circulation in the form of coins or paper;
The amount of bank loans, to individuals, companies and other banks;
amount borrowed by the government
experts believe that monetary money supply is a good indicator to predict the rate of inflation. However, the correlation becomes unreliable since financial liberalization in the 80s
Net capital flows
Is the data that calculates the net difference between funds / total capital in and out.
New York Empire State Manufacturing Index
Monthly Survey industrial in New York and around the Federal Reserve of New York. Participants of this survey represent a wide variety of industry sectors.
Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE)
More or less the same as the CPI, the PCE is a report (specifically the portion of personal income report) published by the Department of Commerce Bureau of Economic Analysis. PCE measures the rate of change in prices of goods and services. data component consists of household expenditure in cash or credit for all kinds of
durables, non-durable and services.
Philadelphia Fed Index (Survey companies)
is a monthly survey of manufacturers in the area around the state of Pennsylvania, New Jersey and Delaware. The companies surveyed indicate a change in all business activities and a wide range of their industrial activity. Issues include labor, working hours, orders, inventories
item, shipping, payments and receipts.
The index number above zero means expansion and contraction when below zero.
these data is considered a good indicator of changes in everything related to the industry. Evaluated accurately reflects the current status. However, as it only covers three states less able to describe the situation of the country as a whole.
Purchasing Managers Index (PMI)
PMI is a composite index of the five main indicators, which includes elements of: Order, inventory levels, production, delivery and Labour. An index level above 50 means the industry is expanding, below 50 indicates contraction.
This index is considered an important indicator and is considered the best indicator to measure the level of production. This index can also detect the pressure of inflation and industrial activity.
Productivity
The measurement of the variation in the number of goods and services produced per unit. The combination of labor and capital inputs. Unit price of the labor component is a useful indicator to measure pressure on wages. The importance of productivity has increased in recent years since the Federal Reserve began to pay attention to the development trend and the inflation rate.
Producer Price Index (PPI)
is a set of indices which calculate the price variation rate selling goods and services in a specific time period that is received by domestic producers. In short, the PPI measures the rate of price change of the seller's point of view.
Not as good as in the CPI indicates inflation pressure. But since entering the elements that are in the process of production, PPI can often simultaneously estimate the CPI
PSNCR -. Public Sector Net Cash Requirement
is the amount of money that must be borrowed government finance expenditures-expenditures. Because governments often spend more than they receive in tax revenues, and the only way to increase the disadvantage of borrowing.
real GDP
The macroeconomists tend to pay more attention to real GDP because these data also takes into account the inflation rate, not as well as GDP (nominal) which reflects the level of price changes.
retail sales
these data calculate the total receipts of retail stores, not including component costs for the services sector in it. Monthly data shows the percentage change from the previous month's data. A negative number indicates the number of sales decreased daripenjualan previous month.
Tertiary Index
Is data that calculates the level of demand for the services sector.
tics / Foreign Securities Purchases US
is the data that measures the amount of capital inflows from foreign investors.
trade balance
trade balance is the net difference between the value of exports and imports of goods and services a country during a given period. A positive number indicates a surplus (exports exceed imports) negative showed a deficit (imports exceed exports).
Unemployment rate
is the percentage of those who are actively looking for jobs, but did not get the job. Although data is generally known (for simple and there are implications with politics), the unemployment rate is relatively less important for the market because it is considered less accurate (often late in changing economic trends signaling).
University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index
is the result of a survey of consumer confidence conducted by the University of Michigan . Is it a consumer confidence indicator is the most attention.
Consumer confidence is an important indicator for the business cycle, as it provides important information on the assessment of the conditions and expectations for the future of current consumers.
survey data collected by mail questionnaires to 5,000 households across the country as a sample yangmewakili, about 3,500 of them responded. The questionnaire contains five questions: (1) the star business conditions in the household, (2) the star business conditions six months, (3) field availability
work in the home environment, (4) the availability of employment in six months, and (5) family income in six months.
consumer confidence is closely linked to unemployment, inflation and real income. Generally, high consumer confidence, if low growth and high unemployment GDP.
Financial markets interpret the increase of this index as indicative figures will increase in the level of consumer spending. High levels of spending in turn could trigger inflation.
weekly initial claims for unemployment
is the average weekly number of new applications to receive unemployment benefits. These data provide an updated report, although it is often erroneously about the trend of the economy, with an increase (decrease) of these data could indicate a deceleration (acceleration), the labor rate lumber growth.
Due to be released per week, this data can be very sensitive and volatile. moving average over memilih analysts for 4 weeks of data to obtain the most accurate results.
ZEW economic sentiment and current situation
is a survey of the German ZEW research institute that provides an overview and assessment of the state of the German economy for the time being.
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